How far the economists, who predict that India's growth will outpace China by 2014, would prove right is a matter of ongoing observation. Achieving such a pace requires an all-round fast march, but questions linger regarding whether the apparel industry has invested enough to keep up with this anticipated change. This skepticism is particularly relevant given the downward trend in Indian garment exports for quite some time.

In my view, it seems far too ambitious to imagine that India could outstrip China in garment exports, considering the substantial and significant gaps, both in numerical terms and in other aspects. For this reason alone, I would not subscribe to the notion that India could overtake China in this area. However, India does need to reevaluate its garment industry, especially if it aspires to elevate its standing in global apparel exports.

The adherence to traditional designs and a lack of study and application of global trends in our products are notable challenges. While the world is moving towards smart textiles, India predominantly sticks to cotton. The absence of significant changes in designs and a lack of innovation are hindering the growth of India's garment exports. To compete on the global stage, investment in innovation is crucial.

India has the potential to achieve 9-10% growth over the next few years, outpacing China's growth plateau at around 8%. However, the decline in apparel sector exports is attributed to a lack of innovation, investment in creative design, and a limited understanding of trends.

The prospect of India upstaging the US as the world's economic superpower by 2025 and overtaking China as the fastest-growing economy by 2014 is contingent on the apparel industry's ability to embrace industrial design, invest in trends, design, innovation, and consumer insight. To realize the full potential of key export markets, Indian apparel makers face the challenge of investing in and understanding consumer and trend intelligence that can give their products added value over cheaper alternatives manufactured elsewhere.

While nearly two-thirds of India's textile and apparel exports are shipped to the EU and the US, the apparel sector has faced a decline by value of 11% in 2009. Comparatively, between 2004 and 2009, India's textiles and apparel exports to the US grew by only 4.2% per annum, lagging behind China, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Bangladesh, which experienced higher growth rates.

The Government of India is well aware of the need for design and has put in place a sound policy for economic growth. 2007's National Design Policy outlines a plan to realise growth of 1,000% in design related exports over the next eight years. But unlike the industrial design sector, the apparel sector has done little to invest in design preferring to wait for customers to provide designs or, alternatively, copy runway images and retail samples with little or no understanding of the consumer trends behind them. The National Design Policy states the strategic importance of adding value through innovative design for Indian competitiveness in both manufacturing and service industries. Key initiatives include cooperation with international design organisations and raising design education in India to global standards of excellence. Under the plan, India would become a major hub for export and outsourcing of designs to achieve a design-enabled innovation economy. The good news for India is that an increasing number of its graduates are educated overseas, and standards in Indian institutions such as the National Institute of Fashion Technology are increasing.


India has Potential of Exporting Creative Services


Innovation is evident in statistics provided by the Indian Patent Office which highlights an increase of trademark applications of over 70% from 2004-2009. This suggests at even though India still has enormous problems with counterfeiting there is a growing seriousness about innovation. Designed in India and Made in India offers added value to the European US customer who will pay a premium for the quality that innovation adds to the product.


As an outsourcing partner India can offer the technical expertise of the country's English-speaking graphic/industrial designers and animators at costs lower than those in developed markets. The same advantages exist in the apparel design sector although this advantage is not realised at present.


However, one area that is capitalising on design is knitwear, which represents 45% of India's textile exports by volume and enjoyed a 10% increase over the past year despite competition from both Asia and Europe. Currently Tirupur in South India supplies 40% of the total knitted apparel exports from India, and forward-thinking Indian companies are increasingly integrating 'designed in India' into the products they produce.


While Indian garment exporters are losing out to competition from China, Indonesia, Vietnam and Bangladesh, there is evidence that some of the larger apparel makers are carrying out knowledge-based processes in India (such as innovation, design and sampling) and completing the production process more cost effectively elsewhere.


Arvind Limited, one of India's largest textile and apparel makers, is investing US$60m to set up a denim plant in Bangladesh. The new facility will be operated as a joint venture with Bangladesh conglomerate Nitol Group, to cater for rising demand from Western fashion brands and retailers.


Investing in domestic design


There is also a clear advantage to investing in design within the domestic sector, as this will reduce the need for imported brands. India's exports grew 22.5% year-on-year in August (2010), while imports over the same period grew by 32.2 % year-on-year to US$29.7bn. That translates into an overall increase in imports of over 33% - resulting in a worrying trade deficit. A robust industry for domestic brands can do much to correct this.

Currently there is an early trend for Indian garment exporters, who have been supplying goods to reputed global retailers, planning to launch their own brands in India, or to tie up with overseas brands in order to take advantage of substantial growth in the domestic market.


The organised garment and accessories retail sector in India is valued at around INR320bn and is projected to increase to approximately INR900bn by 2015. The development will take time to realise since few domestic retailers have the ability to place an order which compares to the average export order; as Indian chains grow in size, their volumes will become more attractive. Amongst Indian apparel manufacturers firming up plans to launch new brands or expand existing brands are S Kumar's Nationwide Ltd, which is in the process of a deal with Donna Karan International, which is owned by LVMH. Such projects are attracting overseas investment: Gokaldas Exports Ltd, India's largest garment manufacturer and exporter was taken over by US private equity company Blackstone in 2007.


But although India requires investment, poor infrastructure, corruption, rampant piracy and education are all challenges. It has many economic and socio-political advantages over China. For example, China's workforce will shortly start aging and shrinking due to the one child policy, whereas India benefits from a young and growing workforce; Over the next 20-25 years India will grow faster than any large country with a working age population that will increase by 136m by 2020 whereas China grows by a mere 23. Moreover, India is a democracy with a strong private enterprise entrepreneurial culture. India also lacks the middle kingdom's culture of secrecy and Government censorship which means that creative ideas and innovation flow easily.


What is required is that India must recognize its full potential and Indian garment exporters should not wait for the windfall of orders which do happen sometimes due to reasons like the increasingly costs of production in competing economies or their economies suffering from natural calamities or labour problems as has been the case with China, Pakistan and Bangladesh.


Originally Published in The Stitch Times, Dec-2010

 

The views presented here are that of the author of the article.