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Australia's business confidence falls into negative territory in May

14 Jun '24
2 min read
Australia's business confidence falls into negative territory in May
Pic: Heorshe - stock.adobe.com

Insights

  • Australia's business confidence fell into negative territory in May 2024, as per the NAB Monthly Business Survey.
  • Confidence dropped by 4 points to minus 3 index points, with significant declines in manufacturing and wholesale.
  • Overall business conditions fell by 1 point to 6, while employment rose.
  • Retail conditions dropped by 7 points in May.
Australia's business confidence has declined, falling back into negative territory in May, according to the National Australia Bank (NAB) Monthly Business Survey for May 2024. Business confidence decreased by 4 points (unrounded) to minus 3 index points. This drop suggests that the subdued economic activity observed in the first quarter GDP data has persisted into the second quarter.

Confidence dropped significantly in the manufacturing and wholesale. The trend level of confidence remained negative in retail and wholesale.

Overall business conditions fell by 1 point to 6 index points, just below the long-run average. Employment improved, rising by 3 points to 5 index points, while trading conditions and profitability both declined by 3 points, as per NAB.

By industry, retail conditions dropped significantly, falling by 7 points. This was partially offset by rises in wholesale (up 9 points) and manufacturing (up 5 points). In trend terms, conditions remained negative in retail, while other industries maintained positive levels.

By state, conditions showed little change in the eastern states but fell sharply in Tasmania, Western Australia, and South Australia. In trend terms, Western Australia and Tasmania remained more elevated, while most states held at reasonable levels. Victoria exhibited the softest trend conditions at +2 index points.

Forward orders saw a slight increase, rising by 1 point to minus 6 index points. Capital expenditure (capex) dropped by 4 points to +4 index points, while capacity utilisation edged up slightly to 83.3 per cent.

Labour cost growth increased to 2.3 per cent in quarterly equivalent terms, up from 1.5 per cent in April. Purchase cost growth also rose to 1.9 per cent, compared to 1.3 per cent in the previous month. Product price growth lifted to 1.1 per cent overall, up from 0.8 per cent. Retail price growth surged to 1.6 per cent from 1 per cent.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DP)

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