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Crude oil falls 9.6% over 2 months; PSF drops 2% in China, 6% in India

02 Sep '24
3 min read
Crude oil falls 9.6% over 2 months; PSF drops 2% in China, 6% in India
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • Polyester value chain has seen a significant decline in recent weeks, driven by a 9.62 per cent drop in crude oil prices since July 2024.
  • PSF prices have decreased by less than 2 per cent in China and around 6 per cent in India.
  • WTI crude oil prices fluctuated but ended August at $75.39 per barrel.
  • PSF prices in both markets have shown a downward trend.
The polyester value chain has experienced a significant decline in recent weeks, following a downward trend in crude oil prices over the past several weeks. Data indicates that global crude oil prices have dropped by 9.62 per cent since July 2024. Polyester staple fibre (PSF) prices in the Chinese market fell by less than 2 per cent, while in the Indian domestic market, they decreased by around 6 per cent. Notably, Indian PSF prices remain significantly higher than those in the Chinese market.

WTI crude oil prices have decreased by 9.62 per cent over the last two months, reaching $75.39 per barrel in the final week of August 2024. Prices have declined in six of the past eight weeks. Starting at $82.13 per barrel in the first week of July, prices eased by 0.54 per cent to $81.69 per barrel in the second week, fell by 4.91 per cent to $77.68 per barrel in the third week, and dropped by 2.60 per cent to $75.66 per barrel in the fourth week of July 2024, according to an analysis of price data from Fibre2Fashion's market insight tool TexPro.

This downward trend continued into August, with prices slipping a further 1.03 per cent to $74.88 per barrel in the first week. Prices then rebounded by 4.22 per cent to $78.04 per barrel in the second week, before falling again by 5.87 per cent to $73.46 per barrel in the third week. Finally, prices rose 2.63 per cent to $75.39 per barrel in the last week of August.

According to TexPro, the price of polyester staple fibre in the Chinese domestic market fell from $1.06 per kg at the beginning of July 2024 to $1.04 per kg, with a further decline of 2.83 per cent to $1.03 per kg in July. The price then recovered to $1.04 per kg in the second half of August 2024, marking a total decline of 1.88 per cent over the last two months.

The Chinese FOB price of PSF also decreased, falling from $1.10 per kg at the beginning of July to $1.08 per kg in the last week of August 2024, a decline of 1.81 per cent over the same period.

In India's domestic market, PSF prices were recorded at $1.26 per kg in the last week of August 2024, down from $1.31 per kg in the last week of July 2024. Prices further decreased to $1.27 per kg in the first half and $1.26 per kg in the second half of August 2024. Overall, PSF prices in the Indian market have declined by 5.97 per cent since July 2024.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)


This according to Fibre2Fashion's Market Intelligence Tool - TexPro

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