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Drewry WCI declines, freight rates may reverse amid rising tensions

04 Oct '24
2 min read
Drewry WCI declines, freight rates may reverse amid rising tensions
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • Drewry World Container Index (WCI) dropped by 5.47 per cent to $3,489 per 40ft container, continuing its decline due to weak demand.
  • However, rates could rise soon due to the Middle East conflict and the ILA port strike.
  • Despite being 66 per cent lower than the pandemic peak, the WCI remains 146 per cent higher than pre-pandemic rates.
  • Shipping routes may be affected by tensions in the region.
The Drewry World Container Index (WCI) continued its downward trend, dropping by 5.47 per cent to $3,489 per 40ft container in the week ending October 3, down from $3,691 the previous week. This benchmark for global sea freight rates has been declining sharply due to weak demand for freight containers. However, it may reverse course in the coming weeks following the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the ILA port strike.

The latest Drewry WCI composite index of $3,489 per 40ft container is 66 per cent lower than the pandemic peak of $10,377 in September 2021, though it remains 146 per cent higher than the 2019 pre-pandemic average rate of $1,420.

The year-to-date average composite index stands at $4,097 per 40ft container, which is $1,269 higher than the 10-year average rate of $2,828 (inflated by the extraordinary 2020-22 COVID period).

Freight rates from Shanghai to Genoa decreased by 9 per cent, or $364, to $3,848 per 40ft container. Similarly, rates from Shanghai to Rotterdam fell by 8 per cent, or $342, to $3,815 per container. Rates from Shanghai to Los Angeles dropped by 4 per cent, or $232, to $5,258 per 40ft container. Rates from Shanghai to New York and Rotterdam to Shanghai also fell by 2 per cent, to $5,922 and $590 per FEU, respectively.

Meanwhile, rates from New York to Rotterdam, Rotterdam to New York, and Los Angeles to Shanghai remained stable.

Drewry anticipates rate increases for routes from China and Europe to the US East Coast in the coming weeks due to the ILA port strike. The escalating conflict in the Middle East may also contribute to higher freight charges, as shipping vessels could be forced to take longer routes between Asia and Europe due to heightened tensions in the region.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)

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