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Dutch producer confidence improves slightly in November

03 Dec '24
2 min read
Dutch producer confidence improves slightly in November
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • Dutch producer confidence improved in November, rising to -1.8 from -3.2 in October, driven by optimism about future output.
  • Confidence in most industrial sectors improved, notably in textiles, clothing, and leather.
  • Despite this, manufacturing output contracted for the 15th consecutive month in September, down 3.3 per cent year-on-year, though exports grew by 3.0 per cent.
Dutch manufacturers expressed less negative sentiment in November compared to October, as per Statistics Netherlands (CBS). Producer confidence rose to -1.8 in November from -3.2 in October, buoyed by greater optimism about future output. However, this improvement leaves confidence below the 20-year average of -1.3.

The improved sentiment was largely driven by manufacturers' more positive outlook on production in the coming months. The assessment of stocks of finished products also showed marginal improvement, although it remained in negative territory. Conversely, views on order positions weakened slightly, reflecting ongoing challenges in the industrial sector.

Producer confidence improved in more than half of the main industrial sectors in November, with the textiles, clothing, and leather sector showing a marked improvement, rising to 1.9 from -1 in October, indicating a shift to positive sentiment within the sector.

In the broader economic context, Dutch manufacturing output continued to contract, declining by 3.3 per cent in September 2024 compared to the same month in 2023. This marked the 15th consecutive month of contraction. Despite this, exports grew by 3.0 per cent in September, driven by increases in food, beverages, tobacco, and chemical products.

The Dutch economy recorded a growth of 0.8 per cent in Q3 2024, supported by increased household and public spending. However, the labour market showed signs of softening, with the number of vacancies declining for nearly two years. In Q3, vacancies fell by 5,000 to 397,000. Meanwhile, unemployment remained unchanged in October, with 3.7 per cent of the labour force out of work.

While producer confidence has shown signs of recovery, it remains in negative territory, reflecting ongoing uncertainties. The combination of declining manufacturing output and robust export growth highlights a complex economic environment, suggesting that the outlook for the Dutch economy in the coming months remains cautious.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KD)

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