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ICE cotton inches up amid crude oil surge, USDA report anticipation

06 Nov '24
2 min read
ICE cotton inches up amid crude oil surge, USDA report anticipation
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • ICE cotton prices saw slight gains, supported by rising crude oil and a weaker US dollar, which made purchases more affordable for international buyers.
  • Investors were cautious ahead of the USDA's upcoming WASDE report, expected to show a small decline in cotton production.
  • In other markets, CBOT soybean, corn, and wheat prices rose, influenced by anticipation around the Fed's rate decision.
ICE cotton prices remained relatively stable with slight gains as rising crude oil prices lent support to US cotton. However, investors were cautious ahead of the USDA's upcoming monthly WASDE report, which is expected to indicate a modest decrease in cotton production.

Yesterday, the December ICE cotton contract closed at 69.95 cents per pound (0.453 kg), up by 0.02 cents, with minimal fluctuations amid low trading volumes.

The US dollar index hovered near a two-week low, which supported cotton prices by making purchases more affordable for overseas buyers. Meanwhile, crude oil prices rose as a storm in the Gulf of Mexico threatened US production, and OPEC+ countries postponed a planned production increase to December. The resulting more than two per cent rise in crude oil prices benefitted the polyester value chain, a man-made alternative fibre to cotton.

The WASDE report, expected next Friday, is likely to reveal a slight decrease in cotton production.

According to ICE data as of November 4, deliverable inventory for ICE's No. 2 cotton futures contract was stable at 174 bales, showing no significant supply changes.

In other agricultural markets, Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) futures for soybeans, corn, and wheat increased as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision and USDA crop forecasts due later this week, which are expected to broadly impact commodity markets.

Currently, December 2024 ICE cotton is trading at 69.41 cents per pound (down 0.54 cents). Cash cotton traded at 65.70 cents (up 0.02 cents), with the March 2025 contract at 71.78 cents per pound (down 0.54 cents), May 2025 at 73.26 cents (down 0.47 cents), July 2025 at 74.74 cents (down 0.27 cents), and October 2025 at 74.16 cents (up 0.18 cents). A few contracts remained at their previous closing levels, with no new trading noted today.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KUL)

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