• Linkdin
Coats Webinar

India's GDP likely to have seen 5.8% growth in Q3 FY22: SBI report

22 Feb '22
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Pic: Shutterstock

India’s gross domestic product (GDP) is likely to have grown at 5.8 per cent in the third quarter (Q3) of this fiscal (FY22), according to the latest Ecowrap research report issued by the State Bank of India (SBI), which said the economy expanded by 8.4 per cent in Q2 FY22 to cross pre-pandemic levels.

However, the GDP growth in the July-September period was slower than the 20.1 per cent expansion in the previous quarter.

"As per SBI Nowcasting Model, the forecasted GDP growth for Q3 FY22 would be 5.8 per cent, with a downward bias. The full year (FY22) GDP growth is now revised downwards to 8.8 per cent from our earlier estimate of 9.3 per cent," the SBI report said last week.

The Nowcasting Model is based on 41 high frequency indicators associated with industry activity, service activity and global economy.

The real GDP will be around ₹2.35 lakh crore more, i.e., 1.6 per cent higher, than the FY20 real GDP of ₹145.69 lakh crore, it said.

The recovery in domestic economic activity is yet to be broad-based as private consumption remained below pre-pandemic levels, it said.

The high frequency indicators suggest some weakening of demand in Q3 also continuing to January 2022, reflecting the drag on contact-intensive services, a news agency reported.

Rural demand indicators, say two-wheeler and tractor sales, continued to decline since August 2021.

The report suggested the government to offer livelihood loans, up to ₹50,000, to the rural poor. Given the significant success of vaccination in the third wave in rural pockets, the livelihood loans can be the silver bullet catapulting the broader economy to unprecedented highs, it added.

The country’s National Statistical Office (NSO) will declare the GDP estimates for Q3 FY22 on February 28.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)

Leave your Comments

Esteemed Clients

Woolmark Services India Pvt. Ltd.
Weitmann & Konrad GmbH & Co. KG
VNU Exhibitions Asia
USTER
UBM China (Shanghai)
Tuyap Tum Fuarcilik Yapim A.S.
TÜYAP IHTISAS FUARLARI A.S.
Tradewind International Servicing
Thermore (Far East) Ltd.
The LYCRA Company Singapore  Pte. Ltd
Thai Trade Center
Thai Acrylic Fibre Company Limited
X
Advanced Search