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Netherlands faces economic contraction in Q3 2023

24 Dec '23
2 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • The Netherlands' GDP contracted by 0.3 per cent in Q3 2023 compared to Q2, a revision from an initial 0.2 per cent decrease, per CBS.
  • Year-on-year, GDP fell by 0.8 per cent, influenced by declines in manufacturing, exports, and consumption.
  • The country's employment saw a rise of 28,000 jobs in Q3, slightly less than the initial 31,000 estimate.
The Netherlands' economic landscape has experienced a downturn in the third quarter (Q3) of 2023, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS). The second estimate, which revises earlier figures, indicates a 0.3 per cent contraction in the country's gross domestic product (GDP) compared to the second quarter of 2023. This is a slight increase from the initial estimate of a 0.2 per cent contraction.

The revised data shows a more pronounced economic contraction than initially thought. Key factors contributing to this downturn include a decrease in household consumption and lower investments. Specifically, the decline in Q3 can be attributed to a reduction in investments in fixed assets, a decrease in inventory changes, and reduced household consumption.

Looking at historical trends, the revision in the second estimate compared to the first has averaged nearly 0.1 percentage points over the past five years (2018-2022). The range of these adjustments has varied, with the most significant being minus 0.3 and plus 0.7 percentage points, both recorded in 2021, as per CBS.

The GDP in Q3 2023 showed a decrease of 0.8 per cent compared to the same quarter in the previous year. This is a downward revision from the initially reported 0.6 per cent decline. The larger decrease in the second estimate is primarily due to new figures emerging from the manufacturing sector. The contraction is mainly due to lower exports of goods, reductions in natural gas inventory, and a decline in household consumption.

The second estimate reports an increase of 28 thousand employed and self-employed jobs in Q3 2023 compared to the previous quarter. This is slightly lower than the 31 thousand job increase reported in the first estimate. Moreover, there has been a year-on-year increase of 142 thousand jobs in Q3 2023, compared to the first estimate of 147 thousand jobs.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DP)

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