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Bangladesh crisis unlikely to affect India's trade balance: S&P Global

06 Aug '24
2 min read
Bangladesh crisis unlikely to affect India's trade balance: S&P Global
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  • A temporary deviation in India's exports to Bangladesh arising out of the latter's political crisis is unlikely to affect the former's overall trade for the entire year in any meaningful manner, according to S&P Global Ratings.
  • A top company executive said expected low domestic demand conditions in Bangladesh will lead to lesser imports, including from India.
A temporary deviation in India’s exports to Bangladesh arising out of the political crisis in the latter is unlikely to affect the former’s overall trade for the entire year in any meaningful manner, according to S&P Global Ratings.

After the resignation of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina amid massive anti-government protests, Bangladesh is now headed for an interim government.

Andrew Wood, S&P Global Ratings director for sovereign and international public finance ratings in the Asia-Pacific, said expected low domestic demand conditions in Bangladesh will lead to lesser imports, including from India.

"India is a well diversified exporter to the entire world and its trade profile is significantly larger than bilateral trade relationships with economies like Bangladesh," he told a webinar.

"Whatever the impact is going to be on directly is really quite unlikely to have a meaningful impact on its overall trade position for the fiscal year... its external position is quite strong in the country and is a net creditor to the world by our calculation," Wood was quoted as saying by Indian media reports.

India's exports to Bangladesh dipped to $11 billion in fiscal 2023-24 from $12.21 billion in fiscal 2022-23. Imports from there declined as well to $1.84 billion from $2 billion in the previous.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)

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