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Vietnam's economic growth projected to reach 6.1% in 2024: IMF

04 Oct '24
1 min read
Vietnam's economic growth projected to reach 6.1% in 2024: IMF
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  • Vietnam's economic growth is projected to recover to 6.1 per cent in 2024, supported by continued strong external demand, resilient FDI and accommodative policies, the IMF said.
  • Inflation is expected to hover around 4-4.5 per cent this year.
  • Domestic demand growth is expected to recover gradually in the country as companies navigate through high debt levels.
  • However, downside risks are high.
Vietnam's economic growth is projected to recover to 6.1 per cent in 2024, supported by continued strong external demand, resilient foreign direct investment and accommodative policies, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which recently concluded the 2024 Article IV Consultation with the country.

Domestic demand growth is expected to recover gradually in the country as companies navigate through high debt levels, while the real estate sector will only fully recover over the medium term.

Inflation is expected to hover around the central bank’s target of 4-4.5 per cent this year.

However, downside risks are high. Exports, a key driver for Vietnam’s economy, could weaken if global growth disappoints, global geopolitical tensions persist, or trade disputes intensify.

Given easy monetary conditions, if exchange rate pressures were to persist for longer, it could lead to a larger pass-through to domestic inflation.

IMF executive directors noted that risks remain elevated, and that further efforts are required to safeguard macro-financial stability and deepen reforms to address vulnerabilities and ensure robust, green and inclusive growth over the medium term. Continued capacity development will be important to support reforms.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (DS)

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